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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points, your daily FPL fix. I'm Archer, and here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes. Gameweek eleven is done and dusted, and we're now turning our attention to Gameweek twelve with the deadline fast approaching on Saturday the twenty-second of November. Let's get straight into the key news and moves you need to make right now.
First up, the rapid-fire news bulletin. Marc Guehi picked up an injury for Crystal Palace during their clean sheet against Bournemouth on Sunday. He didn't feature in the starting lineup, causing concern for his seventeen million managers. Oliver Glasner will provide an update this week, but with Palace keeping another clean sheet, their defensive assets remain interesting. Speaking of defensive assets, Arsenal's clean sheet streak came to an end at Sunderland, conceding in a surprise result at the Stadium of Light. The Gunners' backline took a hit with multiple defenders returning just one point, and with their premium pricing, questions are being asked. Finally, Chelsea secured a comfortable three nil win over Wolves, but injury concerns emerged for Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caicedo, and Pedro Neto. Enzo Maresca will address these knocks in his press conference, but Chelsea managers should monitor the situation closely as they prepare for upcoming fixtures.
Now let's dive into the top three transfers in for Gameweek twelve. First up, Thiago from Brentford at six point three million pounds. He's seen one hundred and fourteen thousand transfers in after an absolute masterclass in Gameweek eleven. The Brazilian forward started and played the full ninety minutes, bagging two goals and three bonus points for a massive thirteen-point haul. That takes him to eight goals for the season in just eleven appearances, with no assists but a goals-per-game rate that's exceptional value at his price. With seven point zero expected points for Gameweek twelve and Keith Andrews' Brentford looking dangerous going forward, Thiago offers premium output at a mid-price point. Verdict: essential. At nine point seven percent ownership and rising fast, he's becoming a must-have differential that won't be differential for long.
Next, Daniel Munoz from Crystal Palace at five point seven million pounds. The Colombian defender has picked up thirty-two thousand transfers in after another clean sheet on Sunday. He played the full ninety minutes and grabbed six points, his fifth clean sheet of the season. He's also chipped in with one goal and three assists, making him one of the most attacking defenders at his price point with sixty total points. Palace's defensive improvement under Glasner is real, and at just fifteen point eight percent ownership, Munoz offers both clean sheet potential and attacking returns from wing-back. With six point zero expected points next, he's a brilliant enabler. Verdict: good. If you need funds elsewhere or want Palace defensive coverage, he's your man.
Third transfer in, Joao Pedro from Chelsea at seven point five million pounds. The Brazilian forward picked up sixty-five thousand transfers in after scoring again in the three nil win over Wolves. He started and played eighty-two minutes, scoring once and keeping a clean sheet for seven points and one bonus. That's four goals and three assists this season across eleven games, with fifty-nine total points. At forty-eight point three percent ownership, he's highly owned, but Chelsea's fixtures are improving and he's nailed in Maresca's system. With five point zero expected points for Gameweek twelve, he's the safe premium forward option. Verdict: good. If you don't own him, consider the move, but be aware nearly half the game has him.
Let's flip it to the top three transfers out. First, Jurrien Timber from Arsenal at six point one million pounds. He's hemorrhaging twenty-five thousand transfers out after a disappointing one-point return at Sunderland. Despite playing the full ninety minutes, Arsenal conceded and Timber blanked, ending a run of strong returns. He's still got sixty-seven total points with two goals and two assists this season, plus six clean sheets. But at six point one million pounds and twenty-five point six percent ownership, managers are looking elsewhere with Arsenal's defensive premiums all struggling for value. The issue is his price has risen to a point where alternatives offer better value. Verdict: hold. Don't panic sell, but if you're wildcarding or using your free transfer, there are better options in that price bracket.
Second transfer out, Riccardo Calafiori from Arsenal at five point eight million pounds. Another Arsenal defender seeing exits, with nineteen thousand transfers out following that one-point return. He played ninety minutes but the clean sheet is gone. Calafiori has sixty-one total points with one goal and two assists, plus seven clean sheets, so the underlying numbers are still decent. But at sixteen point one percent ownership and five point eight million pounds, the Arsenal defensive triple-up is being dismantled. With injury concerns earlier this season and rotation risk, managers are moving on. Verdict: sell. If you need to free up Arsenal defensive slots or want better value, now's the time to move.
Third transfer out, David Raya from Arsenal at five point nine million pounds. The goalkeeper is seeing eighteen thousand transfers out after conceding at Sunderland ended his clean sheet streak. He managed just one point despite playing ninety minutes. Raya still has fifty-three total points and seven clean sheets this season, which is solid, but at five point nine million pounds and thirty-two point three percent ownership, cheaper goalkeepers offer similar returns. With sixteen saves all season, he's not getting save points to compensate. Verdict: keep. He's still Arsenal's number one with good fixtures ahead. Unless you desperately need the funds, hold.
Now for differential picks under ten percent ownership. First, Danny Welbeck at Brighton, priced at six point five million pounds with nine point zero percent ownership. The veteran forward grabbed two points in Gameweek eleven but has forty-five total points this season with six goals. He started and played eighty-four minutes, keeping a clean sheet. At six point eight expected points for Gameweek twelve, Brighton's fixtures are decent and Welbeck remains Fabian Hurzeler's first-choice striker when fit. Second differential, Wilson Isidor at Sunderland. Five point six million pounds with just three point five percent ownership. He managed two points after playing sixty-two minutes in the Arsenal game, but has forty-one total points with four goals this season. Sunderland are the real deal under Regis Le Bris, and at three point two expected points next, he's budget-friendly. Third, Raul Jimenez at Fulham for six point two million pounds and under one percent owned. He played fifty-seven minutes for one point in the Everton defeat, but has twenty-five total points with one goal and two assists. At three point two expected points, he's risky but Fulham have some decent fixtures and at that ownership, he could be a sneaky punt.
Captaincy pick for Gameweek twelve: stick with Erling Haaland. The Norwegian scored again in the Liverpool game, playing ninety minutes for four points. He now has one hundred and two total points with fourteen goals in eleven games. At seventy point six percent ownership and fourteen point eight million pounds, he's the safest captaincy option week in, week out. With eight point five expected points for Gameweek twelve, back the premium asset.
One key tip: monitor Chelsea's injury situation closely this week. With Enzo, Caicedo, and Neto all picking up knocks, team news on Friday will be crucial for your final decisions.
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That's your lot for today. Get those transfers locked in and subscribe at whogotthepoints.com for daily FPL insights. Good luck in Gameweek twelve.