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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points, your daily FPL fix. I'm Archer, and here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes as we build towards Gameweek Sixteen.
Right, news bulletin time. Four critical updates for your transfer plans. First up, Riccardo Calafiori has picked up a suspension and misses Arsenal's home clash with Wolves on Saturday. That's a blow for Arsenal clean sheet hopes with their best centre-back pairing disrupted. Second, Daniel Munoz missed Crystal Palace's two-one win at Fulham through injury. No clarity yet on his availability for the City game, but it's a concern for the thirty-six percent of managers who own him. Third, Luton Nmecha is rated at fifty percent chance of playing after a hamstring issue, missing the Liverpool draw completely. And finally, some positive news as David Moyes confirmed that Amadou Onana is fit despite a recent knock, keeping Everton's midfield solid ahead of the Chelsea trip.
Let's talk transfers in, starting with the three players flying into squads this week. Number one, Marc Guehi at five point two million pounds. Ownership has rocketed to thirty-six point one percent after another attacking return in Gameweek Fifteen. He scored against Fulham, making it two goals and four assists this season from defence. That's eight points in the last match, ninety-one total points, and he's averaging six point five points per game. Crystal Palace face Manchester City next, not ideal, but then they've got a run including Sunderland and Leeds. The underlying numbers are exceptional. Guehi plays every minute, takes set pieces when attacking, and gets forward constantly under Oliver Glasner. Verdict? Essential. At this price with this output, he's a must-have defender.
Number two, Jarrod Bowen at seven point five million pounds. The West Ham forward bagged nine points against Brighton with a goal and three bonus. He's been reclassified as a forward this season which adds value, and he's on four goals and two assists across fifteen gameweeks. Five point five percent ownership means he's still under the radar. West Ham face Aston Villa next, then Manchester City and Fulham in Gameweeks Seventeen and Eighteen. Bowen's playing as the central striker in Nuno Espirito Santo's system, getting serious goal threat. He registered multiple shots against Brighton and looks sharp. Verdict? Good option. Not essential given the upcoming fixtures, but a strong differential for those willing to back West Ham's attack.
Number three, Richarlison at six point four million pounds. The Spurs forward scored and grabbed eight points against Brentford, making it six goals this season. Ownership sits at seven point six percent after forty-seven thousand transfers in. He started and played the full ninety minutes, adding two bonus points alongside his clean sheet point. Spurs have Nottingham Forest away next, then Liverpool at home in Gameweek Seventeen. Thomas Frank's system is creating chances and Richarlison looks nailed when fit. Four point two expected points for the Forest fixture shows the algorithm rates his chances. Verdict? Good option. Cheaper than the premium forwards, reasonable fixtures, and clearly first choice up front for Spurs right now.
Now the transfers out. Who should you be ditching? First up, Eberechi Eze at seven point eight million pounds. This one hurts because he started the season brilliantly, but he's now at Arsenal and managed just forty-five minutes against his former club Aston Villa. One point in Gameweek Fifteen, and while his underlying numbers earlier in the campaign were excellent, that transfer to the Gunners changes everything. He's competing with Saka, Martinelli, and Sterling for minutes. Ownership is nineteen point two percent, and one hundred and twenty thousand managers moved him out this week. Arsenal have Wolves at home next which is tasty, but can you trust his minutes under Mikel Arteta? Verdict? Sell. Take the funds and reinvest in someone guaranteed to start.
Second, Ollie Watkins at eight point five million pounds. Seven percent ownership, but just two points from sixty-five minutes against Arsenal. That's forty-five total points this season, averaging three points per game. Three goals all season from an eight point five million pound forward simply isn't good enough. Villa's fixtures include West Ham away, then Manchester United at home in Gameweek Seventeen. The underlying stats show he's not getting into dangerous positions consistently. Forty-five thousand brought him in this week, which feels like chasing last season's form. Verdict? Sell. Your forward spots need guaranteed returners at this price point, and Watkins isn't delivering.
Third, Nick Woltemade at seven point five million pounds. Twenty-three point four percent ownership makes him one of the most popular forwards, but he blanked against Burnley with just two points despite playing seventy-three minutes. Five goals and two assists sounds decent, but that's from twelve starts, and Newcastle have Sunderland in the Tyne-Wear derby next. The problem? Ninety-eight thousand moved him out in this cycle, nearly thirty thousand more than brought him in. When ownership is this high and form dips, the price drops quickly. He's already seen five price changes. Verdict? Hold for now. The derby could spark him back to life, and selling high-owned players in a panic rarely works. Give him the Sunderland fixture.
Differential time. Three picks under ten percent ownership. First, Dominic Calvert-Lewin at Leeds, five point five million pounds, one point two percent owned. He scored against Liverpool for six points and has four goals this season. Leeds face Brentford away in Gameweek Sixteen, then Crystal Palace at home. At this price as a starting striker for a decent side, he's criminally under-owned.
Second, Callum Wilson at five point eight million pounds, just zero point nine percent ownership. He came off the bench and grabbed an assist against Brighton for four points. That's four goals and one assist in limited minutes this season. If he starts forcing his way into Nuno's plans, he's explosive at this price. West Ham face Villa next, and Wilson thrives against physical defenders.
Captaincy? It has to be Erling Haaland. Seventy-three percent ownership, fifteen goals this season, and Crystal Palace away on Sunday. Yes, he blanked against Sunderland with just two points, but he played sixty-eight minutes and Palace's defence can be breached. Five point three expected points from the algorithm. Don't overthink it.
One key tip for the week? Monitor that Daniel Munoz injury news before deadline. If he's out, shift defensive funds elsewhere. Palace's backline loses significant attacking threat without him.
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That's your lot. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com for daily FPL insights. Good luck in Gameweek Sixteen.