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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to get your Gameweek thirty-two transfers sorted before that Friday deadline. Let's go.
Right, news first. The big story doing the rounds is Spurs and their managerial situation. Thomas Frank is currently in charge at Spurs, but there's plenty of discussion about whether that shake-up in the dugout makes their players viable FPL options. Short answer for now? Wait and see. The fixtures aren't kind either - Sunderland away in Gameweek thirty-two, so hold off before going near any Spurs assets.
Nott'm Forest are flying under Sean Dyche. Three nil at Spurs in Gameweek thirty-one. Their defenders are seriously worth attention ahead of a home game against Aston Villa in Gameweek thirty-two. More on that in a moment.
Welbeck delivered in Gameweek thirty-one - two goals, twelve points. We recommended him as a buy, and he delivered the goods. Brighton won two one against Liverpool. That's a confidence booster ahead of a trip to Burnley in Gameweek thirty-two - a genuinely tasty fixture.
Everton hammered Chelsea three nil in Gameweek thirty-one. Chelsea's Liam Rosenior will be worried heading into a tricky home game against Man City in Gameweek thirty-two. That makes Chelsea assets harder to trust.
And keep an eye on the xG underachiever conversation this season. Several big names are due returns - regression is coming for some players, and that could be gold for FPL managers who time their transfers right.
Now let's get into the transfers.
Transfer in number one - B.Fernandes, Man Utd, ten point three million pounds, forty-four point five percent ownership. He scored a goal, grabbed an assist, and bagged thirteen points in Gameweek thirty-one against Bournemouth. Seventeen assists this season. His expected points for Gameweek thirty-two are ten point eight against Leeds at Old Trafford - that's a fixture you want your premium midfielder facing. His form rating is ten point three. At nearly half the game owned, he's almost essential. Man Utd are at home, Leeds have struggled defensively, and Michael Carrick's side are scoring goals freely. Verdict: Essential. If you don't have him, get him in now.
Transfer in number two - Welbeck, Brighton, six point two million pounds, five percent ownership. We flagged him as a buy two days running and he rewarded those who acted with twelve points and a brace against Liverpool. His price has actually dipped slightly so he's still accessible. Twelve goals this season and Brighton travel to Burnley in Gameweek thirty-two - Burnley's home difficulty rating is just three. Fabian Hurzeler's Brighton side are in good form and Welbeck is their go-to goal threat. Verdict: Good. He's already trending with over one hundred and thirty three thousand transfers in this gameweek.
Transfer in number three - Murillo, Nott'm Forest, five point two million pounds, two point one percent ownership. He played the full ninety minutes in Forest's dominant three nil win at Spurs and picked up eight points. Six clean sheets this season, and he's been quietly racking up returns all campaign. Forest host Aston Villa at home in Gameweek thirty-two - rated a difficulty of three on both sides, making it a genuine clean sheet opportunity. Sean Dyche sides are notoriously hard to break down. At five point two million, he's a bargain in that defensive slot. Verdict: Good. A low-ownership gem worth serious consideration.
Now the transfers out.
Transfer out number one - João Pedro, Chelsea, seven point eight million pounds, fifty point four percent ownership. He managed just two points from seventy-seven minutes as Chelsea lost three nil to Everton in Gameweek thirty-one. Nearly one hundred thousand managers have already sold him this gameweek. Chelsea now face Man City at home in Gameweek thirty-two - that's a difficulty rating of four. With Liam Rosenior's side struggling for form and conceding freely, João Pedro's attacking output is hard to trust right now. His price has risen three points this season so there's still some sell value there. Verdict: Sell. Rotate that capital into something with a better fixture.
Transfer out number two - Casemiro, Man Utd, five point seven million pounds, three point two percent ownership. He played eighty-one minutes and returned just one point as United drew two two with Bournemouth. Despite seven goals and four assists this season, that blank hurts when you need returns every week. Over ten thousand have sold him this gameweek. With Man Utd at home to Leeds in Gameweek thirty-two, there's a case to hold, but the points per game of four point six doesn't justify the price if you can upgrade elsewhere. Verdict: Hold if you have him, but don't buy in now.
Transfer out number three - Rodrigo, Man City, six point three million pounds, zero point five percent ownership. His price has dropped two points and he only has one goal to his name all season. Man City face Chelsea away in Gameweek thirty-two which is rated a four for difficulty. Pep Guardiola's rotation policy makes him unreliable and his expected next points of six point five feels optimistic. Verdict: Sell if you have him, and definitely don't bring him in.
Differential picks. Under ten percent ownership, these are the ones that could separate you from your mini-league rivals.
First up - Canvot, Crystal Palace, four point five million pounds, just zero point one percent ownership. The defender faces Newcastle at home in Gameweek thirty-two. He's racked up four clean sheets this season and has expected next points of six point five. Palace at home is a solid platform and Oliver Glasner has tightened things up defensively. At four point five million he barely dents your budget. A genuine differential if you need a cheap defender slot filled.
Second differential - Rodon, Leeds, three point nine million pounds, four point two percent ownership. He played the full ninety in Gameweek thirty-one and picked up six points including a clean sheet in Leeds' goalless draw with Brentford. Five clean sheets this season, two goals, and now Leeds travel to Man Utd in Gameweek thirty-two. Tough fixture, but at three point nine million he's dirt cheap and Daniel Farke's side have shown defensive resilience. If you need budget filler at the back, Rodon is your man.
Third differential - Mavropanos, West Ham, four point four million pounds, zero point two percent ownership. West Ham open Gameweek thirty-two at home to Wolves on Friday night. He's been solid all season with seventy-seven total points and has expected next points of five point eight. Nuno Espirito Santo's side will fancy their chances of a clean sheet against Wolves. Three clean sheets this season and he's criminally under the radar at just zero point two percent ownership.
Captaincy pick and one key tip. B.Fernandes is your captain for Gameweek thirty-two. Ten point eight expected points, Man Utd at home to Leeds, seventeen assists this season, and he's absolutely on fire right now. Don't overthink it - he's your armband.
And the key tip? With the Chelsea versus Man City match on Sunday and both sides carrying uncertainty, avoid doubling up on assets from either side if you can help it. Spread your chips.
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That's your Gameweek thirty-two prep done. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com and we'll see you tomorrow.