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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points, the FPL podcast that cuts through the noise and gets straight to the decisions that matter. I'm Archer, and in the next seven minutes, you'll know exactly what moves to make for Gameweek twenty-five. The deadline is Friday the sixth of February at six-thirty p.m., so let's get into it.
First up, the news bulletin. Bukayo Saka remains doubtful with a muscle injury, though there's a seventy-five percent chance he features against Sunderland. Mikel Arteta gave nothing away in his press conference, so this is one to monitor closely before deadline. Manchester City and Crystal Palace are now confirmed for a blank in Gameweek thirty-one after City reached the EFL Cup final, so plan accordingly if you're holding those assets long-term. And finally, Fulham's new signing Oscar Bobb could threaten Harry Wilson's minutes, though Marco Silva has suggested rotation rather than replacement for now. Keep that on your radar if you're banking on Wilson's consistency.
Now let's talk transfers in. Top of the list is Bruno Fernandes at nine point six million pounds and thirty-one point four percent ownership. He's picked up three hundred and eighty-three thousand transfers in after back-to-back hauls. In Gameweek twenty-four, he started and played ninety minutes against Fulham, grabbing two assists and two bonus points for ten fantasy points total. That's now twelve assists for the season and he's averaging six point two points per game under Michael Carrick's interim management. Man Utd face Spurs at home in Gameweek twenty-five, where Fernandes has eight expected points, then they've got West Ham away in Gameweek twenty-six. The fixtures turn, but right now he's essential. Verdict: Essential.
Next up, Enzo Fernandez at six point eight million pounds with twenty-one point seven percent ownership. We recommended him yesterday and nothing's changed. He bagged a goal and two bonus points in Chelsea's three-two win over West Ham, giving him eight fantasy points in Gameweek twenty-four. That's eight goals for the season now from midfield, and he started and played the full ninety minutes. Chelsea face Wolves away where Enzo has five point eight expected points, then Leeds at home in Gameweek twenty-six. At that price with eight clean sheets to his name, he's offering both floor and ceiling. Three hundred and sixteen thousand managers brought him in this week. Verdict: Good buy.
Third transfer in is Joao Pedro at seven point five million pounds and climbing to nearly forty percent ownership. He's the most transferred-in player this gameweek with four hundred and ninety-six thousand additions. Playing forty-five minutes as a substitute in Gameweek twenty-four, he scored, assisted, and grabbed three bonus points for ten fantasy points. That's nine goals and five assists this season for Chelsea. Against Wolves away he has seven point eight expected points, then Leeds at home. At seven point five million with that ceiling, he's a bargain. The only concern is those forty-five minutes suggest rotation, but the output justifies the risk. Verdict: Essential if you can afford the rotation risk.
Now the transfers out. First, Bukayo Saka at nine point nine million pounds. His ownership has crashed from higher levels as three hundred and twenty-seven thousand managers dump him ahead of the Sunderland fixture. He didn't feature in Gameweek twenty-four due to that muscle injury, and with only a seventy-five percent chance of playing, the uncertainty is toxic. He's got just one point nine expected points for Gameweek twenty-five. If he's fit, Arsenal have Sunderland at home then Brentford away, which are decent fixtures. But at nine point nine million, you can't have that price tag sitting on your bench. Verdict: Sell if you need the funds, otherwise hold one more week to see if he's fully fit.
Second transfer out is Bryan Mbeumo at eight point five million pounds with nineteen point eight percent ownership. Now playing for Man Utd after his move, he managed just ninety minutes and two points in Gameweek twenty-four with no attacking returns against Fulham. That's a steep fall from his Brentford form. He's got five point two expected points against Spurs, but for eight point five million, you need more than that. One hundred and forty-five thousand brought him in, but forty-five thousand are already moving him out. The fixtures turn after Spurs with West Ham and Everton, so he might come good, but right now the value isn't there. Verdict: Sell for better options.
Third transfer out is Marcos Senesi at four point eight million pounds. Yes, he kept a clean sheet against Wolves in Gameweek twenty-four for eight points, playing the full ninety. But Bournemouth have conceded forty-two goals this season, which is relegation form defensively. Aston Villa away is not a clean sheet fixture, and then it's Everton and West Ham. One hundred and eight thousand managers brought him in chasing value, but at four point eight million you're better off with a Liverpool or Arsenal defender for just slightly more. Verdict: Hold if you need the bench fodder, sell if upgrading.
Differential time. Morgan Gibbs-White at seven point three million pounds and just three point six percent owned. He scored in Nottingham Forest's one-one draw with Palace, playing ninety minutes and picking up eight points with a bonus. That's six goals and two assists this season. Forest face Leeds away on Friday night where he's got six point five expected points. Under five percent owned, he's a genuine differential who's on set pieces for a team that's quietly solid.
Second differential is Ibrahima Konate at five point four million pounds and under three percent ownership. He scored Liverpool's opener against Newcastle, playing ninety minutes and grabbing eleven points with a bonus. Liverpool face Man City at Anfield on Sunday evening, which isn't ideal, but then it's Sunderland away and Nottingham Forest at home. At five point four million with seven clean sheets this season, he's cheap access to that Liverpool defense. Low risk, high upside.
Final differential is Noni Madueke at six point eight million pounds and just zero point eight percent owned. Now at Arsenal after his move, he scored, assisted, grabbed three bonus points and a clean sheet in sixty minutes for fourteen fantasy points in Gameweek twenty-four against Leeds. The sample size is tiny, but if he starts against Sunderland at home, he's got elite fixture upside. Risk is rotation under Mikel Arteta, but at that ownership, he's a proper punt.
Captaincy for Gameweek twenty-five goes to Joao Pedro against Wolves away. Chelsea are flying, he's in ridiculous form, and Wolves have been leaky. Seven point eight expected points tells the story. If you want safety, Bruno Fernandes at home to Spurs is your man, but Pedro has the ceiling.
One key tip before we go: Plan for that Gameweek thirty-one blank. If you're loading up on Man City and Crystal Palace assets, have an exit strategy or bench cover ready. Don't get caught short when that blank arrives.
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That's it for today. Make those moves, set that team, and we'll see you tomorrow with more FPL insights. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com and don't forget to leave a review if this helped your gameweek. Good luck.