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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points? I'm Archer, and here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes. Gameweek twenty-two deadline hits Saturday morning at eleven o'clock, and with a Manchester derby headlining the weekend, we're breaking down the essential transfers, differential picks, and captaincy choices you need right now. Let's go.
Rapid fire news bulletin. First up, Cherki's minutes are a major concern for Man City assets. After playing just seventeen minutes in the one-one draw with Brighton, the midfielder is losing his place in Pep Guardiola's plans despite fifteen point three percent ownership. That's a massive red flag heading into the derby. Second, Brentford are flying under Keith Andrews. Three-nil demolition of Sunderland makes it back-to-back wins, and their attacking assets look sharp ahead of the Chelsea clash. Schade with an assist and Janelt also contributing shows depth across the squad. Third, Arsenal's clean sheet against Liverpool means their defensive assets remain locked in. Ten clean sheets this season for Raya, and with Forest at home, that's double figure potential for Gameweek twenty-two. Fourth, Liverpool's attack went missing in the Arsenal stalemate, but Wirtz still offers value with seven point three expected points against Burnley at Anfield. Finally, Brighton's one-one draw with City highlighted Ayari's continued involvement. The midfielder is pushing for regular starts and could be this gameweek's sneaky enabler option.
Top three transfers in. Number one, Wirtz at eight point two million pounds. Ownership jumped from around ten percent to eleven point two with over one hundred sixteen thousand transfers in this week. Started and played the full ninety against Arsenal, picked up a clean sheet point in the goalless draw. His seven point three expected points against Burnley at home makes him a prime captaincy alternative to the obvious choices. Liverpool face a Burnley side that's shipped four goals in their last away fixture and twenty-six goals conceded overall this season. Wirtz has two goals and two assists in twenty games, playing that advanced midfield role under Arne Slot. Form rating of six point eight is solid, and three point five points per game shows consistency. The verdict? Good option for this gameweek, especially if you're looking to differentiate your captain pick from the template. Liverpool should dominate at Anfield.
Number two, Timber at six point three million pounds. The Arsenal defender is now at twenty-seven point six percent ownership after one hundred twenty-seven thousand transfers in. Nine clean sheets in twenty games this season, plus two goals and four assists. That's premium defensive output from a six million pound asset. Started the full ninety against Liverpool in Gameweek twenty-one, picked up six points with the clean sheet and bonus. Five point eight expected points for the Forest fixture at home is excellent value. Arsenal's defense under Mikel Arteta has been rock solid, conceding just twelve goals all season. Form of four point eight and averaging five point two points per game makes him essential coverage. The verdict? Essential. If you don't own Arsenal defense, Timber is the route in. Great fixtures ahead and nailed in that inverted full-back role.
Number three, Schade at seven point one million pounds. Brentford's midfielder sits at just two point six percent ownership after forty-two thousand transfers in. Started and played the full ninety against Sunderland, got the assist in the three-nil win for six points total. That's six goals and four assists in twenty games this season, averaging four point two points per game. Form of seven point six is the highest of our transfer targets, and seven point six expected points against Chelsea is massive. Brentford face a Chelsea side that's conceded three goals to Fulham just days ago. Schade plays that advanced role and gets into dangerous positions consistently. At seven point one million, he's affordable midfield firepower. The verdict? Good punt for brave managers. Chelsea's defense looked shaky in Gameweek twenty-one, and Brentford have momentum.
Top three transfers out. Number one, Cherki at six point eight million pounds. Over one hundred ninety thousand managers shipped him out despite only seventy-two thousand bringing him in. That's a net loss of ownership, and you can see why. Just seventeen minutes off the bench against Brighton tells you everything. After being a key Man City asset with two goals and eight assists this season, he's now a rotation risk under Guardiola. One point in Gameweek twenty-one is unacceptable for fifteen point three percent ownership. The Manchester derby against United brings rotation risk even higher with Pep's tactical tinkering. Form has dropped to five point four despite four point eight points per game overall. The verdict? Sell now. You can't have six point eight million sitting on your bench, and City's fixture list doesn't justify the risk. Move the funds elsewhere.
Number two, Van de Ven at four point six million pounds. The Spurs defender has twenty-eight point one percent ownership but seventy thousand shipped him out this week. Zero points against Bournemouth after conceding two goals in the three-two loss kills his momentum. Seven clean sheets in twenty games is decent, but Spurs' defense is leaking goals. Twenty-five goals conceded overall and their fixture against West Ham doesn't scream clean sheet potential. Four point eight form and four point five points per game has been solid, but the three goals and one assist attacking returns aren't consistent enough. Spurs under Thomas Frank are unpredictable defensively. The verdict? Hold if you need the funds elsewhere, but he's not essential. Better four point six options exist if you're wildcarding soon.
Number three, Raya at five point nine million pounds. Arsenal's keeper has thirty-three point six percent ownership but seventy thousand moved him out despite the Liverpool clean sheet. Six points in Gameweek twenty-one with ten clean sheets total this season shows quality, but the five point nine price tag is premium territory. Four point one points per game is solid for a keeper, and four point six expected against Forest is decent. However, the issue is value. That extra million compared to cheaper options like Verbruggen could be better spent in midfield or attack. Thirty-two saves in twenty-one games isn't elite shot-stopping numbers. The verdict? Keep if you're sticking, but don't buy in now. Better value exists, especially with Arsenal's fixtures turning after Forest.
Differential picks under ten percent ownership. Ayari at four point eight million and just zero point three percent owned. Brighton's midfielder played eighty-two minutes against City, grabbed an assist for five points. Two goals and two assists this season from a four point eight million enabler is excellent value. Five point eight expected points against Bournemouth on Monday night offers a unique differential. Perfect for draft leagues or deep squads needing that fifth midfielder spot. Next up, Janelt at four point nine million and zero point two percent ownership. Brentford's midfielder got seven points against Sunderland with an assist, playing the full ninety. Four assists this season from deep shows he's involved in the attack. Seven point two expected points against Chelsea is the highest form rating in our list. Finally, McGinn at five point four million and one point one percent owned. Aston Villa's midfielder played seventy-two minutes against Palace for three points with the clean sheet. Three goals and two assists in twenty-one games, and Villa face Everton at home on Sunday. Five point zero expected points and consistent minutes make him a sneaky enabler with upside.
Captaincy pick for Gameweek twenty-two. Timber is my choice. Arsenal host Forest at the Emirates on Saturday evening, and nine clean sheets in twenty games plus attacking returns makes him a double-digit threat. Five point eight expected points underrates his potential, and Forest's defense has been shaky away from home. Differential captain option that could pay off huge. If you're playing it safer, Wirtz against Burnley at Anfield offers goalscoring upside in a fixture Liverpool should dominate.
One key tip. With Gameweek twenty-four approaching, start planning your fixture rotations now. Multiple teams have great runs coming up, so identify which combinations work for your squad structure. Don't wait until deadline day to realize you're stuck with poor fixtures.
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That's your Gameweek twenty-two breakdown. Make your moves before Saturday morning. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com. I'm Archer, and remember, every point counts.