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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes — Gameweek twenty-nine is done, the dust has settled, and Gameweek thirty is locked and loaded. Deadline is Saturday the fourteenth of March at one thirty in the afternoon. Let's get into it.
First up, the rapid-fire news bulletin. Spurs are a walking injury ward heading into Gameweek thirty. More knocks from their midweek European action mean Liverpool face a severely depleted Spurs side on Sunday. If you needed more reason to back Liverpool assets, there it is. Speaking of Liverpool, Wolves stunned them two-one in Gameweek twenty-nine — so confidence is not sky high at Anfield right now, but the Spurs fixture is a gift. Chelsea were the big winners in Gameweek twenty-nine, thumping Aston Villa four-one at Villa Park. Crystal Palace also had a stunning three-one win at Spurs. And Everton continue to deliver, beating Burnley two-nil to keep that clean sheet form rolling. Finally, Arsenal edged Brighton one-nil — another clean sheet for Mikel Arteta's men, and they face Everton at home in Gameweek thirty at five thirty. Keep an eye on that one.
Right, let's talk transfers in. First up — João Pedro at Chelsea, seven point seven million pounds, owned by forty-seven point six percent of managers. He hauled a massive nineteen points in Gameweek twenty-nine — three goals, one assist, and maximum bonus. That is thirty-one goal contributions this season between fourteen goals and nine assists. His expected points for Gameweek thirty against Newcastle at home are ten. Chelsea under Liam Rosenior are flying and Newcastle's defence has been shaky. If you don't have João Pedro, you are burning points. Verdict: Essential.
Next in — Senesi at Bournemouth, five point zero million pounds, owned by seventeen point five percent. He bagged eleven points in Gameweek twenty-nine with a clean sheet and maximum bonus. That's eight clean sheets this season and four assists — incredible value for a five million pound defender. He faces Burnley away in Gameweek thirty, and the FPL community agrees — over one hundred and thirty-eight thousand transfers in this week. With six expected points for the upcoming gameweek, he's nailed on. Verdict: Essential.
Third transfer in — Tarkowski at Everton, five point seven million pounds, owned by eleven point two percent. Fifteen points in Gameweek twenty-nine — a goal, clean sheet, and maximum bonus against Burnley. He now has ten clean sheets this season and is one of the premium budget defenders in the game. Arsenal at home in Gameweek thirty is tough, but his underlying form is undeniable with a four point seven points per game average. Over sixty-three thousand transfers in this week. Verdict: Good — but go in with eyes open on that Arsenal fixture.
Now the transfers out. Rogers at Aston Villa, seven point five million pounds, owned by twenty-six percent. Just one point in Gameweek twenty-nine after Villa were thrashed four-one by Chelsea. His expected points for Gameweek thirty are just one point three. Form has nosedived to one point eight. Villa face Man Utd away on Sunday and there are real concerns about Rogers' role in this team right now. Over two hundred and twenty-seven thousand transfers out this week — that tells you everything. Verdict: Sell.
Next out — Konaté at Liverpool, five point five million pounds, owned by four point three percent. Only two points in Gameweek twenty-nine after Liverpool lost to Wolves, and he was hauled off after seventy-eight minutes. With Spurs in Gameweek thirty, there's fixture appeal, but his form is patchy and he's being moved out by over thirteen thousand managers this week. With Virgil also in the Liverpool backline and taking in that game, Konaté is the less reliable option. Verdict: Sell if you need the funds.
Finally on the outs — O'Reilly at Man City, five point one million pounds, owned by nine point five percent. Zero points in Gameweek twenty-nine — he didn't feature at all as Man City drew two-two with Nott'm Forest. Over fifty thousand transfers out this week. With Man City travelling to West Ham on Saturday evening in what looks like a competitive game, his place in the team is uncertain. If you backed him as a differential, the faith is wearing thin. Verdict: Sell and reinvest elsewhere.
Now for the differentials — the ones flying under the radar. First — Anderson at Nott'm Forest, five point five million pounds, owned by just seven point one percent. He scored and picked up maximum bonus in Gameweek twenty-nine for twelve points. Forest face Fulham at home in Gameweek thirty — a very gettable fixture under Sean Dyche. Over one hundred and twenty-six thousand transfers in this week so the secret is getting out. Seven clean sheets this season, goals, assists — he does it all. A genuine differential who should be on your watchlist right now.
Second differential — Hincapie at Arsenal, five point one million pounds, owned by just zero point nine percent. Nine points in Gameweek twenty-nine with a clean sheet and bonus. Arsenal face Everton at home on Saturday evening and Arteta's backline has conceded just sixteen goals all season. Four clean sheets for Hincapie personally and expected points of six point six for Gameweek thirty. Under one percent ownership makes him a massive differential if he starts again. Check team news before deadline.
Third differential — Diouf at West Ham, four point zero million pounds, owned by two point two percent. Six points in Gameweek twenty-nine with a clean sheet and six assists already this season — tremendous attacking output for a budget defender. West Ham host Man City on Saturday evening, which is a tough ask, but at just four million pounds, the floor is high and Nuno Espirito Santo's side showed defensive resilience beating Fulham one-nil in Gameweek twenty-nine. A sneaky budget pick if you need to free up funds.
Captaincy for Gameweek thirty — it has to be João Pedro. Ten expected points, home fixture against Newcastle, form of nine point five, nineteen points last week. He is the standout armband choice by a country mile. One key tip — keep an eye on Spurs injury news before the Liverpool game on Sunday afternoon. If Spurs are even more depleted, Liverpool attackers become massive plays in the second half of the weekend.
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That's your Gameweek thirty prep done. Get those transfers in before Saturday the fourteenth at one thirty. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com — see you tomorrow.