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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to nail your Gameweek Thirty Seven transfers before the deadline hits at five thirty this afternoon. Let's go.
Right, rapid-fire news first. Liverpool have injury concerns heading into Gameweek Thirty Seven, with Salah, Wirtz, and Alisson all carrying doubts ahead of the trip to Aston Villa on Friday evening. That is a massive red flag for any Liverpool assets you're holding. Keep a very close eye on team news before that early deadline tonight.
Over at Nottingham Forest, Gibbs-White, Murillo, and Aina are all injury doubts for their clash at Man Utd on Sunday. Forest had a tricky Gameweek Thirty Six but face an interesting fixture at Old Trafford. Check fitness updates before committing to any Forest assets.
Chelsea have their own injury concerns with Neto, Sanchez, and Garnacho all uncertain ahead of the Spurs match on Tuesday evening. Both those clubs have a blank Gameweek Thirty Eight concern too, so tread carefully on Chelsea and Spurs assets beyond this week.
And the big headline from the community — Arsenal are the team everyone is tripling up on this gameweek. They face Burnley at home on Monday evening, which is the standout fixture in Gameweek Thirty Seven. Burnley away is rated at a difficulty of five for the visitors, meaning Arsenal at home is as good as it gets.
Now let's get into the transfers.
Transfer number one. Gabriel. Arsenal. Seven point three million pounds. Forty-five point seven percent ownership. He earned eleven points in Gameweek Thirty Six, including a clean sheet and three bonus points. On the season he has scored three goals, contributed five assists, and kept a remarkable seventeen clean sheets. His expected points for Gameweek Thirty Seven against Burnley are seven point seven — the highest of any player in our data today. Arsenal at home to Burnley is basically a free hit for their defensive assets. With over eighty-four thousand transfers in this week already, the world is catching on. Verdict: Essential. If you don't own Gabriel, this is the move.
Transfer number two. Watkins. Aston Villa. Eight point seven million pounds. Thirteen point nine percent ownership. He scored nine points in Gameweek Thirty Six with a goal and three bonus points and carries a form rating of seven point zero. His expected points for Gameweek Thirty Seven are six point five as Aston Villa host Liverpool at Villa Park on Friday night. Liverpool's injury concerns around Alisson could open the door for Watkins to run riot. Twelve goals and three assists on the season. Despite over one hundred and twenty thousand transfers out this week — likely panic selling — this man is in red-hot form. Verdict: Good. If you're after a premium forward, Watkins is the pick right now.
Transfer number three. Rayan. Bournemouth. Five point four million pounds. One point six percent ownership. Nine points in Gameweek Thirty Six, with a goal, a clean sheet, and a bonus point. Five goals and two assists on the season. Bournemouth host Man City on Tuesday evening in what looks a tasty fixture on paper, and with expected points of six point five, Rayan looks like an exceptional budget option. His form rating is seven point zero and he's generating nearly thirty thousand transfers in this week. At five point four million pounds, he frees up serious budget elsewhere. Verdict: Good. A brilliant differential pick with premium potential.
Now for the transfers out.
First up. Rice. Arsenal. Seven point two million pounds. Twenty-four point three percent ownership. Now look, Arsenal are the team to target this week, but Rice earned just three points in Gameweek Thirty Six, and his expected points for Gameweek Thirty Seven are only four point five. His form rating has dropped to three point zero. With nearly forty-seven thousand transfers out, managers are rotating their Arsenal exposure toward Gabriel and Saka rather than Rice. If you need to fund that Gabriel purchase, Rice is your most logical sell. Verdict: Sell, and redirect funds into Gabriel.
Second. Sels. Nottingham Forest. Four point six million pounds. Five percent ownership. He kept seven clean sheets on the season but shipped a goal in Gameweek Thirty Six and only picked up three points. Forest face Man Utd away on Sunday with Gibbs-White, Murillo, and Aina all potentially missing. With expected points of just four point five and uncertainty around the squad, you can do better at goalkeeper right now. Verdict: Sell. Leno was recommended yesterday and remains a solid upgrade target.
Third. Igor Jesus. Nottingham Forest. Five point nine million pounds. Two point four percent ownership. Just one point in Gameweek Thirty Six despite playing eighty-two minutes. On the season he has six goals and six assists for a hundred and ten total points, which is respectable, but the form is dipping at the worst time with Forest's squad disruptions ahead of Gameweek Thirty Seven. Over seventeen thousand transfers out this week tell the story. Verdict: Sell unless you have the patience for the Man Utd away fixture.
Now your differentials for Gameweek Thirty Seven.
Groß. Brighton. Five point six million pounds. Three point three percent ownership. Six points in Gameweek Thirty Six with an assist and a clean sheet. Six assists on the season. Brighton face Leeds at home on Sunday with expected points of six point five — that is a genuinely tasty fixture. Only three point three percent of managers own him. Brilliant value at five point six million pounds and an ideal differential for a budget midfield slot.
Calvert-Lewin. Leeds. Five point eight million pounds. Thirteen point one percent ownership. He scored seven points in Gameweek Thirty Six with a goal and a bonus point. Thirteen goals on the season and over sixty-one thousand transfers in this week show the community is backing him. Leeds host Brighton on Sunday. At thirteen percent ownership, he's not truly a differential, but he's the form forward at budget price. Back him.
Donnarumma. Man City. Five point six million pounds. Nine point three percent ownership. An outstanding Gameweek Thirty Six — fourteen points across two games with two clean sheets and two bonus points. Fifteen clean sheets on the season. Man City face Bournemouth away on Tuesday but the underlying numbers here are superb. At nine point three percent, he remains under the radar for a goalkeeper of his quality. Keep or bring in if you need a goalkeeper upgrade.
Captaincy pick for Gameweek Thirty Seven. Gabriel. Seven point three million pounds. Arsenal at home to Burnley on Monday evening is the standout fixture. Seven point seven expected points, seventeen clean sheets this season, and already the most transferred-in player this week. If you're looking for a differential captain, Watkins at Villa against a potentially depleted Liverpool is your alternative. But Gabriel is the captain recommendation this week.
One key tip — the Gameweek Thirty Seven deadline is today, Friday the fifteenth of May, at five thirty in the afternoon. Do not sleep on this. With Liverpool's injury news still unclear on Salah, Wirtz, and Alisson, get your team sorted before the press conferences. Arsenal assets are the priority. Gabriel in, Rice out if budget is needed.
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That's your Gameweek Thirty Seven briefing sorted. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com and we'll see you tomorrow.