Daily market briefing for 2026-07-17.
Key Markets & Headlines
Key markets and headlines for today.
The most market-moving story this morning is the sharp global selloff in technology stocks, particularly chipmakers, which is sending shockwaves through equity markets worldwide. Nasdaq one hundred futures are down two percent as traders rush to exit positions in the high-flying semiconductor sector, which has been at the heart of this year’s rally but is now facing pressure from stretched valuations. S&P five hundred futures are also under pressure, falling one percent, while an exchange-traded fund tracking semiconductor firms dropped four percent in premarket trading. The rout isn’t limited to the US — it’s spreading across Asia, where Taiwanese stocks have fallen into a technical correction and the region’s main benchmark is at a two-month low. Europe is seeing a more measured decline, thanks to its lower exposure to tech. This broad risk-off sentiment is being compounded by renewed attacks and counterstrikes in the Middle East, further weighing on investor confidence.
Turning to key company headlines, Apple is in focus after HSBC upgraded the stock to Buy from Hold, raising its price target to three hundred sixty-six dollars from two hundred sixty. The firm argues that Apple is at an “operational turning point,” able to avoid the heavy capital expenditure debate that’s dogging hyperscalers, since it invests only two and a half percent of its twenty twenty-six sales compared to thirty-nine percent for the largest cloud players. HSBC sees Apple as well positioned to leverage its massive two and a half billion installed device base, especially with its forthcoming Apple Intelligence revamp. The analyst highlights a strong hardware pipeline, including the Phone eighteen Pro and Pro Max this fall, an iPhone Air in April twenty twenty-seven, and, most notably, a book-style foldable phone. HSBC believes the AI boost is arriving at just the right time, with Apple’s most innovative product lineup in years.
In the defense and aerospace sector, Anduril made headlines as the US Air Force announced that its CCA prototype, the YFQ forty-four Alpha, successfully fired an AIM one twenty AMRAAM missile during a test at Edwards Air Force Base in California. The drone executed an end-to-end, beyond-line-of-sight strike against a simulated target, marking the first live missile fire from a Collaborative Combat Aircraft drone. Air Force Chief of Staff General Kenneth Wilsbach called it an “important next step” in developing collaborative combat aircraft.
In artificial intelligence infrastructure, CoreWeave is seeking to raise two point six billion dollars in debt, pushing the AI infrastructure borrowing boom further into the US leveraged loan market. The proceeds from this delayed draw term loan will fund the acquisition and installation of graphics processing units and other components to provide compute capacity for companies including Anthropic, under take-or-pay contracts. The loan will also support compute capacity for major US market makers Jane Street and Hudson River Trading. Investors have until July thirtieth to place orders, with JPMorgan and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group running the offering.
Databricks is also in the capital markets, seeking a new round of financing led by Coatue Management at a one hundred eighty-eight billion dollar valuation. This would mark a forty percent jump from the one hundred thirty-four billion dollar valuation it achieved in February. Databricks, which competes with Snowflake and Alphabet, plans to use the capital for acquisitions and to expand its AI platforms, including Genie and Unity. The company is on track to generate five point four billion dollars in annual revenue, with one point four billion coming from AI products.
Fox shares are rebounding after Citi analyst Jason Bazinet called the recent ten percent selloff following the Roku takeover announcement “overblown.” Citi expects one billion dollars in annual EBITDA from both revenue and cost synergies, and believes the acquisition could be free cash flow accretive within a year of closing. Fox is now Citi’s top pick, with a Buy rating and a seventy-eight dollar price target.
In regulatory news, the European Union has issued binding instructions to Google, requiring it to open up its Android operating system and search engine data to competing AI services. The European Commission says rival AI assistants have been restricted from accessing key Android features, making it difficult to compete with Google’s own services like Gemini. The EU wants users to be able to activate their AI assistant of choice on Android devices via voice command, and to use them for tasks such as booking taxis. Google must also share some search data with competing search engines, including AI chatbots with search features.
Meanwhile, Google is reportedly months behind schedule on delivering Gemini three point five Pro, its most powerful flagship AI model. The delay is due to efforts to improve its capabilities, especially in coding. This has caused frustration among Google engineers and managers, who worry the company is losing ground to rivals Anthropic and OpenAI. Google says it’s currently testing upgraded models with partners and is working closely with the US government on model testing and broader frameworks. At its most recent Cloud conference, Google announced that seventy-five percent of its code is now generated by AI and meets the company’s standards.
Meta is rolling out new safety features for parents, adding alerts when their children discuss sensitive topics with Meta AI, such as suicide or self-harm. When a teen suggests they may be thinking about suicide or self-harm, Meta AI already directs them to crisis helplines and encourages reaching out to a parent or trusted adult. Now, Meta will also proactively alert supervising parents if their teen’s Meta AI chat suggests they may be at risk, using signals developed with experts. These alerts are now live for parents using Instagram parental supervision in the US, UK, Australia, and Canada, and will be available globally by year-end.
In a significant executive move, Dave Brown, one of the most senior executives at Amazon Web Services, is joining Meta, where he’ll report to the company’s head of infrastructure. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has signaled interest in launching a cloud business, noting at the annual shareholder meeting that building a cloud is “definitely on the table.” Companies are reportedly approaching Meta almost weekly, seeking access to its AI models or to pay for its spare computing capacity.
The NBA and WNBA have signed a multiyear partnership with TikTok to expand fan engagement. The deal will combine creator-driven content, game highlights, and live-game discovery through TikTok’s GamePlan platform, along with integrated advertising via TikTok Pulse Premiere. Nearly half of TikTok’s one billion users follow basketball, and data shows users are much more likely to watch live games after consuming related content. Recent NBA Finals activations on TikTok generated hundreds of millions of impressions and significant referral traffic to live games. The agreement aligns with the NBA’s broader global growth initiatives, including ongoing plans for NBA Europe.
Netflix shares are under pressure after the company forecast a second consecutive quarter of slowing sales growth, fueling investor anxiety about its future. Netflix projected revenue of twelve point nine billion dollars for the current quarter and earnings of eighty-two cents a share, both slightly below analyst expectations. Shares fell about ten percent in premarket trading, putting the stock on track for its lowest intraday level since September twenty twenty-four. The company reported second quarter sales of twelve point six billion dollars and earnings of eighty cents a share, in line with Wall Street’s consensus. Netflix sought to reassure investors by outlining a plan to sustain growth and touting recent hits, such as “I Will Find You,” which was its most-viewed new original series this year. Chief Financial Officer Spencer Neumann emphasized that Netflix has only reached about forty-five percent of its addressable market and accounts for just five percent of global TV viewing. The company expects to add six billion dollars in sales this year.
OpenAI has unveiled its first hardware product, the Codex Micro, a two hundred thirty dollar miniature keyboard designed as an AI coding assistant for users of its Codex tool. The launch comes just days after Apple filed a lawsuit accusing OpenAI of stealing hardware secrets through former employees. OpenAI is also working on a separate AI device intended to serve as a “humanlike” companion, though no release date has been set.
PayPal’s board is reviewing a roughly fifty-three billion dollar takeover offer from Stripe and Advent International, but views the bid as inadequate, believing it undervalues the company despite offering a premium to its recent share price. The board is also weighing execution risks, including financing certainty, regulatory hurdles, and a potentially lengthy approval process. The bid is backed by about fifty billion dollars in financing from JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, and seventeen billion in equity from the buyers. The deal would combine two major online payments platforms, but could face antitrust concerns that might require asset divestitures such as Braintree. Stripe and Advent remain the most serious bidders and are working to address concerns, but negotiations are expected to take time as PayPal also evaluates its standalone turnaround prospects and the possibility of other offers.
Roblox has announced Build, a new mobile-first creation tab within the Roblox app, along with a suite of AI-powered tools for creators of every level. Build allows anyone to turn a text prompt into a basic game directly in the app, handling gameplay mechanics, environment, characters, visual style, sound, and more. Build extends Roblox Studio, the company’s free development tool, into the main app, with a shared back end, models, and chat history. Creators can start work in Build and enhance their creation with broader Studio capabilities, or launch agents from Studio and check progress from their mobile device.
Sweetgreen stock is sliding toward a record low, extending its dramatic selloff as cases of cyclosporiasis — an intestinal illness linked to fresh produce — continue to rise across the US. Importantly, no cases have been tied to Sweetgreen or any specific producers. Still, markets are concerned that nationwide hesitation about eating greens could threaten the company and its brand, which relies heavily on lettuce and other fresh produce. In just the past four days, shares of the salad chain have plummeted twenty-two percent.
SoftBank is planning to sell about sixty billion yen, or three hundred sixty-nine million dollars, of notes to institutional investors in Japan this month, following earlier domestic retail and foreign-currency bond offerings this year. The company plans to price about fifty billion yen of three-year notes and ten billion yen of five-year notes in the week of July twenty-seventh. The offering is being arranged by Daiwa Securities, Nomura, and SMBC Nikko Securities. The new debt underlines SoftBank’s growing funding needs as it expands investment in AI, including a commitment of almost sixty-five billion dollars to OpenAI. Masayoshi Son’s firm has already raised six hundred seventy-eight billion yen this year through subordinated bond offerings to retail investors, and tapped the US and euro bond markets in April.
SpaceX said it will aim to launch its Starship rocket again in a few days after aborting Thursday’s mission when some engines failed to fire. CEO Elon Musk said the engine failure triggered an automatic launch abort alert, and the company was offloading propellant. While not uncommon in rocketry, the delay is another minor setback for a spacecraft central to Musk’s ambitions to put data centers in space, expand the Starlink communications network, and send humans to the moon and Mars.
In venture capital, Ryan Beiermeister has joined Founders Fund as a partner. She brings a high-profile background, including serving as Vice President of Product Policy at OpenAI during its rapid growth after ChatGPT’s launch. Her tenure ended earlier this year after she opposed a proposed “adult mode” feature, with her departure reportedly tied to internal disputes she has strongly denied. Since then, she’s remained visible in Silicon Valley, including through a Founders Fund “Mafia” game video that highlighted her analytical style and long-standing relationships with key figures like Trae Stephens from their time at Palantir. At Founders Fund, she plans to focus on investing in technically complex, high-stakes sectors such as AI infrastructure, defense, energy, climate, and biotech, aligning with the firm’s core strategy.
A federal judge in California expressed skepticism about a private challenge to Paramount Skydance’s one hundred ten billion dollar bid to buy Warner Bros. Discovery, brought by streaming video consumers. US District Judge Araceli Martínez-Olguín denied a request to temporarily block the deal pending a trial, and indicated further reservations about the case, saying she has “serious doubts about standing to pursue the antitrust claims.” She has not yet ruled on the companies’ motion to dismiss the case.
Turning to macro and policy news, President Trump has accused China of interfering with US elections in twenty twenty, threatening to upend ties with the world’s second-biggest economy as he focuses on securing a victory in the midterms this November. In a prime-time address from the White House, Trump claimed the Chinese government stole two hundred twenty million voter files, including names, addresses, and other sensitive data, calling it “the largest compromise of election data in history.” US intelligence agencies have previously debunked these claims. Trump also accused intelligence agencies of concealing information about China’s alleged efforts to meddle in the twenty twenty election, which was ultimately won by former President Joe Biden.
In the housing market, US mortgage rates have risen to their highest level in almost a year, as renewed tensions in the Middle East stoke inflation concerns. The average rate for a thirty-year fixed loan is now six point five five percent, up from six point four nine percent a week earlier, according to Freddie Mac. Rates haven’t been this high since late August. Mortgage rates have climbed for a second straight week, tracking an increase in Treasury yields after a peace deal brokered between the US and Iran about a month ago broke down.
In Washington, Citadel founder Ken Griffin has already contributed about forty million dollars to the twenty twenty-six midterm elections, with plans to potentially double that amount. He’s focusing heavily on shaping the Republican Party and preserving its Senate majority. His largest donation so far is ten million dollars to the Senate Leadership Fund, with additional millions supporting key GOP Senate candidates in Alaska, Maine, and Iowa. Notably, he’s avoided supporting Texas candidate Ken Paxton due to concerns about his controversies. Griffin is prioritizing Senate races for their long-term influence and is known for his detailed, strategic approach to political giving. Although he did not strongly back Donald Trump in twenty twenty-four and has criticized some of his policies, Griffin has maintained selective support for the party, positioning himself as an influential financier in its post-Trump future.
In event-driven news, Germany is preparing core demands for possible discussions with UniCredit over Commerzbank, according to people familiar with the matter. Berlin’s focus is shifting from stopping the proposed takeover to shaping it. No talks have been planned yet, but they are expected to start at some point. Preserving Commerzbank’s role in supporting Germany’s Mittelstand through its international network and trade finance operations would be a key government demand. Berlin would also likely seek guarantees that Commerzbank will retain a separate stock exchange listing and that Frankfurt remains an important location after any acquisition.
Voya Financial has recently attracted takeover interest, including an earlier approach this year from Principal Financial, but no active negotiations are currently underway. Sources indicate that Voya’s management and board are not pursuing a sale at this time. Neither company has publicly commented on the situation.
Looking at notable charts and flows, Goldman’s High Beta Momentum basket is on track for its worst monthly performance in about seventeen years, underscoring the sharp reversal in risk appetite. Insider buying and selling in the first half of the year is at its highest level since the pandemic, according to EPFR. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is on the verge of entering a bear market, highlighting the sector’s recent volatility. And in crypto, T. Rowe Price launched an actively managed crypto fund yesterday, adding to what many see as an increasingly crowded space.
Thanks for listening.