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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to smash your Gameweek 30 transfers before that Saturday deadline at one thirty. It's Who Got The Points — let's go.
Right, rapid-fire news first. Gameweek twenty-nine is done and dusted, and there were some massive results to digest. Wolves beat Liverpool two-one, which will have hurt a lot of FPL managers heavily invested in Reds assets. Chelsea put four past Aston Villa, Crystal Palace hammered Spurs three-one, and Arsenal edged Brighton one-nil. On the Blank Gameweek front, we now have three confirmed matches for Gameweek thirty-four — worth keeping that in mind when planning your squad for the coming weeks. There's also been real scrutiny on which Premier League defences are leaking the most right now, and we'll factor that into our picks today. New managers Liam Rosenior at Chelsea, Michael Carrick at Man Utd, Nuno Espirito Santo at West Ham, and Rob Edwards at Wolves are all starting to shape their sides — with Chelsea and Man Utd both looking sharp in recent weeks. And a quick note — Flemming at Burnley is doubtful for Gameweek thirty with a calf injury, seventy-five percent chance of playing — worth monitoring before deadline.
Now let's get into the transfers. Here are your top three ins for Gameweek thirty.
First up — J.Timber at Arsenal. Six point three million pounds. Twenty-eight point five percent ownership, and rising fast — eighty-seven thousand transfers in this gameweek alone. He scored thirteen points in Gameweek twenty-nine — an assist, a clean sheet, and two bonus points. He now has thirteen clean sheets this season, six assists, and a form rating of five point five. Arsenal host Everton on Saturday at five thirty, and with a defensive strength this consistent, J.Timber is one of the best value picks in the game. Verdict: Essential. Get him in.
Second — Palmer at Chelsea. Ten point six million pounds. Sixteen point two percent ownership. Fifty-six thousand transfers in this week. Palmer bagged nine points in Gameweek twenty-nine — a goal, two bonus points, playing eighty-four minutes in Chelsea's four-one demolition of Aston Villa. He has nine goals and two assists this season, and his expected points for Gameweek thirty against Newcastle at home sits at nine point five. His form rating of nine point zero is the highest of any midfielder in our data. Chelsea versus Newcastle at five thirty on Saturday — Palmer is your premium option. Verdict: Essential.
Third — Šeško at Man Utd. Seven point three million pounds. Five point nine percent ownership and growing fast — nearly fifty-eight thousand transfers in this week. He has eight goals and two assists this season, form of five point four, and Man Utd face Aston Villa at home on Sunday — a fixture that looks very gettable under Michael Carrick's improving side. His expected points for Gameweek thirty are five point nine. He's been one of the most transferred-in players this week for good reason. Verdict: Good. A smart differential at that price.
Now your top three transfers out for Gameweek thirty.
First — Gyökeres at Arsenal. Eight point eight million pounds. Twelve point one percent ownership. Over forty-four thousand transfers out this week, and you can see why. He only played fifty-eight minutes against Brighton and scored just one point. He has ten goals this season but zero assists and has dropped in price by two. With Everton away next, it's not a terrible fixture, but his output just doesn't justify the eight point eight price tag right now. Verdict: Sell. Reinvest elsewhere.
Second — Bowen at West Ham. Seven point five million pounds. Seven point six percent ownership. Thirty thousand transfers out this week. He got four points in Gameweek twenty-nine — an assist and a clean sheet — but West Ham host Man City in Gameweek thirty and that's a horror fixture. His expected points drop to three point nine, and with Pep Guardiola's side having a point to prove, the City attack could punish West Ham badly. He's conceded fifty-two goals this season — the joint worst defensive record in our data. Verdict: Sell. Get out before deadline.
Third — Ekitiké at Liverpool. Nine point one million pounds. Thirty-four percent ownership. Liverpool lost to Wolves two-one in Gameweek twenty-nine and Ekitiké returned just two points from ninety minutes. He does face Spurs at home in Gameweek thirty — a decent fixture on paper — and his expected points are five point one, so this is more of a hold conversation than a full sell. But if you're light on funds, there are better options at that price. Verdict: Hold if you have him, but don't rush to buy.
Now your differential picks for Gameweek thirty. These are all under ten percent ownership.
First differential — Semenyo at Man City. Eight point three million pounds. Yes, I know — fifty-seven percent ownership means he's not a differential for most, but he scored seven points in Gameweek twenty-nine with a goal, and faces West Ham at home on Saturday. West Ham's defence has conceded fifty-two goals this season. Semenyo has fifteen goals and six assists — he is THE most consistent FPL asset in our data right now. Expected points of seven point five. If you don't have him, he should be your priority alongside J.Timber.
Second differential — B.Fernandes at Man Utd. Ten point zero million pounds. Forty percent ownership — another high-owned one — but for those without him, listen up. Eight points in Gameweek twenty-nine, fourteen assists this season, and Man Utd face Aston Villa at home in Gameweek thirty. His expected points are seven point five and his form of seven point zero is outstanding under Carrick. Verdict: Strong pick.
Third differential — and a true differential this time — Welbeck at Brighton. Six point one million pounds. Just three point eight percent ownership. He only came off the bench in Gameweek twenty-nine with twenty-one minutes, but Brighton travel to Sunderland on Saturday — a fixture that carries a difficulty rating of four for Brighton. Welbeck has ten goals this season and a form of four point four. If he starts, at six point one million pounds he's a value punt with real upside.
Right — captaincy pick and one key tip.
Your captain for Gameweek thirty is Palmer. Chelsea host Newcastle at home on Saturday evening, his expected points are nine point five, and he is simply in the form of his life with a form rating of nine point zero. Double up with J.Timber as your vice-captain and you've got Arsenal's clean sheet machine as your backup. The key tip — check the Blank Gameweek thirty-four situation before making any long-term squad moves. Three matches are confirmed, and planning around that now could be the difference between winning and losing your mini league over the run-in.
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That's your Gameweek thirty prep done. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com and we'll see you tomorrow.